Advanced Analytics Downplay Trevor Lawrence's Prospects of Being a Generational Quarterback
By Michael Luciano
It's almost a foregone conclusion that Clemson's Trevor Lawrence will be picked first in the 2021 NFL Draft, but the analytics might prove that the golden boy prospect with insane arm talent actually has some hidden flaws lurking under the surface.
Pro Football Network dug deep into the numbers, and they found that Lawrence's spotty ball placement down the field might be a legit concern he needs to answer for scouts.
Lawrence's percentage of plays with adequate ball placement on throws 20 yards or greater down the field dropped below 40 percent when angled deep down the right sideline, and he never topped 60 percent in any one section of the field.
In addition, Lawrence hit his receivers in stride on 72 percent of throws shorter than 20 yards, which is a lower percentage than four of the first five quarterbacks drafted in 2020, with only Justin Herbert trailing him at 69 percent.
Accuracy and arm talent are certainly not concerns, but ball placement might be a problem, and Lawrence is by no means a perfect prospect, despite his many exceptional traits.
Even "perfect" prospects like Andrew Luck had flaws, as the Stanford product held the ball too long and forced a lot of throws. Lawrence should have a long career in the pros, but there are some rough edges to his game right now.