Induction Odds for Every First-Time Player on 2020 Hall of Fame Ballot
By Parker White
The 2020 Hall of Fame Ballot was officially released on Monday, and the one name that jumps off the page is New York Yankees great Derek Jeter. But is he the only newcomer that's deserving of this honor?
Here's a look at the induction odds for every first-time player on the 2020 Hall of Fame ballot.
Derek Jeter
Just like his teammate Mariano Rivera, there's no doubt that Derek Jeter deserves to get in on the first try, but should he be unanimous? Absolutely. Over his 20-year career, Jeter compiled 3,465 career hits, 1,923 runs scored and 1,311 RBI while hitting .310. Jeter was a 14-time All-Star, AL Rookie of the Year and a five-time World Series champion. There really isn't much else he could've done outside of winning an MVP, which he finished in the top-10 eight times.
Bobby Abreu
Bobby Abreu has a very interesting Hall of Fame case. He's a borderline candidate, but his 18 years in the show were pretty impressive. The two-time All-Star finished with 2,470 hits, 288 home runs and a .298 career batting average. His lack of hardware quietly hurts his case, but he should get a long look on the ballot.
Jason Giambi
Jason Giambi was a five-time All-Star, won an MVP, led the league in walks four times, and finished with 440 career home runs. However, he didn't end his career very well, playing in a total of 308 games over his last five seasons. Maybe his on-base ability and overall slugging will help his cause, but he doesn't fare well from an overall body-of-work standpoint when you compare him to other first baseman who are already in Cooperstown.
Cliff Lee
Cliff Lee was certainly one of the best pitchers of his generation, but did he do it long enough? Yes, he won a Cy Young and pitched over 200 innings eight times. However, he only had roughly five Hall of Fame years. Lee finished with 143 career wins, which would be the lowest among Hall of Fame starters, and he was famous for not walking opposing hitters (1.9 career BB/9). He should get a look, but he just didn't do enough to consider him worthy of the Hall of Fame.
Alfonso Soriano
Alfonso Soriano was a dynamic player in the prime of his career, especially in 2006 with the Washington Nationals, a season in which he finished with 46 home runs and 41 stolen bases. Despite being a member of the exclusive 40-40 club, he fell off in his latter years. In 16 season, Soriano finished with seven All-Star appearances, 2,095 hits, 412 home runs and 289 stolen bases. If players like Larry Walker are getting shunned, don't expect to see Soriano in the HOF.
Rafael Furcal
Early in his career with the Atlanta Braves, shortstop Rafael Furcal looked like he could be one of the best leadoff men of all time. Furcal stole bags (314 career swipes) and got on base at a .348 clip over his first six years in Atlanta, but injuries certainly derailed his once-promising career.
Josh Beckett
Josh Beckett was certainly one of the best big-game pitchers during his career, but he rarely put it all together during the regular season. Beckett finished with 138 career wins, a 3.88 ERA and 1,901 strikeouts over 2,051 innings in his 14-year career. He was a part of two World Series teams and was a World Series MVP, but those overall stats aren't enough to get him in.
Paul Konerko
Paul Konerko had a fine career over his 18 years, 16 of which came with the Chicago White Sox. He anchored the middle of their lineup for years, including in 2005 when they won the World Series. Konerko finished with 2,340 career hits and 439 home runs, meaning he'll probably get some votes, but he'll fall well short in the end.
Adam Dunn
Adam Dunn would fit perfectly in today's game. He belted a bunch of home runs (462 career), walked a ton (eight seasons of 100-plus walks), and struck out even more (2,379 career strikeouts). While he was a very memorable player, he's not a HOFer.
Eric Chavez
If only Eric Chavez played longer and didn't get hit with the injury bug. Chavez was one of the best defensive third baseman during his era, accumulating six Gold Gloves. He also had some thump in his bat (260 career homers). However, he played in over 150 games a season just five times. That lack of durability crushes his case.
Raul Ibanez
You could be looking at a future manager, but he didn't do enough over his 19-year career to justify being enshrined in Cooperstown. Ibanez made only one All-Star team and finished with 2,034 career hits and 305 home runs.
Carlos Pena
If Carlos Pena put up the type of numbers he did in Tampa Bay for the majority of his career, we might be singing a different tune. However, over his 14 years in the MLB, he tallied just 1,146 hits and 286 home runs, 163 of which came in Tampa. It's an honor just to make the ballot, but we aren't looking at one of the greatest to ever play.
Brian Roberts
Over his 14 years, 13 of which came with the Baltimore Orioles, Brian Roberts compiled 1,527 hits, 367 doubles and 285 stolen bases. Roberts had double-digit home runs just four times, but the guy was a doubles machine. Injuries also held him back and ended his career. He doesn't have a big enough body of work to qualify for the Hall.
Chone Figgins
Figgins was a super-utility player who played for 12 years with three different organizations (Angels, Mariners and Dodgers). Figgins did make an All-Star team, but finished with only 1,298 hits, 35 home runs and 341 stolen bases.
Brad Penny
The two-time All-Star had a 14-year career with six different teams (Marlins, Dodgers, Giants, Cardinals, Red Sox and Tigers) and tallied 121 career wins with 1,273 strikeouts over 1,925 innings. Not a HOFer.
J.J. Putz
It's hard enough for a reliever to end up in Cooperstown, and for J.J. Putz, he just wasn't an elite closer for very long. Putz ended his 12-year career with 189 saves, including two 40-plus save seasons. His one All-Star campaign isn't going to cut it.
Jose Valverde
The three-time All-Star had a nice time in the MLB, finishing with 288 saves over his 12-year career. He won the Rolaids Reliever of the Year Award twice and led the league in saves three times. Those are nice feathers in his cap, but he's not an all-time great.
Heath Bell
Bell was as good as it gets from 2009-2011 with the San Diego Padres, but that's about all he has for his resume. Three really good seasons won't cut it.